Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.767119 0.875018 0.992446 1.129713 1.285758 1.457631 1.661314
2025-03-09 0.595317 0.741323 0.914289 1.134227 1.406445 1.732376 2.152442
2025-03-16 0.498509 0.660271 0.863664 1.138024 1.498449 1.955927 2.581157
2025-03-23 0.434081 0.604748 0.830063 1.149042 1.588993 2.174662 3.014332
2025-03-30 0.373684 0.544044 0.778703 1.125180 1.623716 2.315401 3.349130
2025-04-06 0.325848 0.493529 0.733461 1.101339 1.651121 2.442679 3.670465
2025-04-13 0.283126 0.444657 0.683997 1.063869 1.651630 2.527017 3.931779
2025-04-20 0.271320 0.440526 0.699388 1.123462 1.800808 2.841369 4.563928
2025-04-27 0.259234 0.434227 0.710086 1.175606 1.941598 3.152934 5.217335
2025-05-04 0.247038 0.426162 0.716634 1.220726 2.073785 3.460154 5.888463
2025-05-11 0.230827 0.409535 0.707252 1.237884 2.160167 3.698506 6.464147
2025-05-18 0.208789 0.380577 0.674281 1.211354 2.169102 3.806957 6.826101
2025-05-25 0.191110 0.357922 0.650631 1.199823 2.204697 3.966626 7.296869
2025-06-01 0.177716 0.341706 0.636811 1.204478 2.269372 4.182285 7.886686
2025-06-08 0.165648 0.326670 0.623555 1.208510 2.332456 4.398969 8.495201
2025-06-15 0.155792 0.314826 0.614981 1.220203 2.410239 4.647793 9.183641
2025-06-22 0.142348 0.294598 0.588580 1.194878 2.414167 4.757299 9.612132
2025-06-29 0.130276 0.275925 0.563459 1.169574 2.415390 4.860664 10.035571
2025-07-06 0.117853 0.255318 0.532628 1.129805 2.383665 4.896000 10.323741
2025-07-13 0.116980 0.258891 0.551065 1.193054 2.568331 5.378009 11.567365
2025-07-20 0.115228 0.260380 0.565238 1.248396 2.740803 5.848094 12.824104
2025-07-27 0.112785 0.260104 0.575591 1.296282 2.901086 6.304775 14.089001
2025-08-03 0.107902 0.253889 0.572577 1.314490 2.997970 6.634142 15.102980